Established in 2005, Scotland’s Violence Reduction Unit (SVRU) pioneered a public health approach to violence prevention by addressing the social determinants of violence, rather than relying solely on enforcement. Following a 58% reduction in violent crime volume from 2008-09 to 2021-22 and a halving of Scotland’s homicide rate since 2008-09, this model has gained international recognition. Twenty violence reduction units (VRUs) have been established across England and Wales since 2019.
While specific violence reduction interventions have showed promising results (Williams et al., 2014), comprehensive evaluation of the SVRU’s overall impact using robust causal inference methods has not been undertaken. Analysis of homicide data has noted that societal shifts may have contributed, independently of the SVRU (Geoghegan, 2015).
New analytical techniques using Scottish Ambulance Service data have been shown to give sensitive, area-based estimates of specific callouts – potentially able to measure rates of injury due to violence. The availability of novel data to detect incidence of violence and the scope of cutting-edge epidemiological methods presents an opportunity to assess what contribution the SVRU approach has made to falls in violent crime.
The successful candidate will utilise natural language processing methods to categorise and detect records of ambulance callouts for violent injuries and use these to estimate changes in rates of violent assault as an outcome targeted by the SRVU strategy. They will work with stakeholders to co-develop an evaluation design approach that uses natural experimental methods to estimate the contribution the SVRU made to reducing violence in Glasgow.
As well as learning about and applying emerging approaches to using non-conventional data sources to answer important policy questions, the student will gain experience of working with stakeholders and insight into the use of evidence in decision-making.
Supervisory Team:
- First Supervisor: Professor Jim Lewsey, jim.lewsey@glasgow.ac.uk
- Second Supervisor: Dr Andy Baxter, andy.baxter@glasgow.ac.uk
- Third Supervisor: Dr Olivia Hamilton, olivia.hamilton@glasgow.ac.uk
- Fourth Supervisor: Professor Peter Craig, peter.craig@glasgow.ac.uk